Cairn Report

Markers through the numbers.

Economy

IMF expects weaker global growth in 2026 and a rebound in 2027

Its October outlook also projects a rise in headline inflation this year.

Two Maersk container ships viewed from the water
Container vessels photographed in the Netherlands. File photo. Web-sized copy. kees torn · CC BY-SA 2.0

The International Monetary Fund's October outlook projects world output will grow 3.1 percent in 2026 before picking up to 3.4 percent in 2027. It expects global headline inflation to reach 4.7 percent this year and ease to 4.1 percent next year.

The fund identifies energy-importing economies outside the technology value chain as particularly exposed. The same change in fuel prices can put pressure on import bills and household budgets in one country while benefiting energy exporters elsewhere.

The forecasts use information available through October 1. The IMF recommends temporary, targeted income support for vulnerable households when governments respond to cost-of-living pressures.

Sources

  1. imf.org